December 23, 2020
Although the Democrats’ House majority was nearly wiped out in last month’s election, the party appears poised to retain Representative Nancy Pelosi (D-California) for a fourth, two-year stint as speaker next month. But the question is, do most Americans feel the same way?
A new Politico/Morning Consult poll shows most self-identified Democrats (53%) think she should keep the gavel, but a majority of voters oppose Pelosi staying on as speaker. Only 31% of all voters think Pelosi should be elected as speaker when the new Congress begins, while 56% think she should not.
The election of the speaker is one of the first tasks for the House when it reconvenes on JanNuary 3, but the smaller Democratic majority—Republicans’ net gain in November currently stands at ten seats and could swell to a dozen, depending on the disposition of two still-uncalled races—has threatened Pelosi’s position, says Politico.
When Democrats assumed control of the House two years ago, 15 Democratic members defected from Pelosi—choosing another individual or voting “present” during the speakership vote. Of those, ten are returning members of the Democratic caucus—and Pelosi only will be able to lose a handful of votes if she wants to clinch the speakership this time, depending on how many members show up.
In the poll, the vast majority of Republicans (83%) are opposed to Pelosi staying as speaker.. Independents also lean strongly against her: Just 22 % say she should remain speaker, while 59% say she should not.
The numbers track closely with her overall image rating. Fewer than four-in-10 voters (37%) have a favorable opinion of Pelosi, while 52% view her unfavorably. Among Independent voters, 27%view Pelosi favorably, and 58% have an unfavorable opinion of her.
The Poltiico/Morning Consult poll was conducted December 18-20, among 1,995 registered voters.
Research contact: @politico